NOK
TIER 2 · 4%RESEARCH PENDINGNokia • Photonics / Optical • XETRA
External Research
Key Metrics
Mkt Cap$48B
Fwd P/E24.1x
Gross Margin43.5%
D/E0.21
Rev Growth+3.5%
Customer RiskLow
Supply Chain Position
Only vertically integrated Western InP semiconductor fab (ex-Infinera). $1B NVIDIA strategic investment. San Jose + Bethlehem fabs (CHIPS Act).
Why Included
Western alternative to Asian InP supply. NVIDIA’s $1B investment validates the thesis. ICE-D intra-DC optics platform. €3.4B net cash. D/E 0.21. Also a Taiwan contingency hedge.
Customers: Diversified across telecom and data centre customers. No single-customer risk.
Red Flags
- •Stock already +8% above analyst consensus — limited near-term upside vs consensus
- •Traditional telco business is mature/declining — InP optics story is still emerging
- •Revenue growth is only +3.5% — need to see DC optics segment accelerate
- •Infinera integration execution risk
Citrini Research Note
Citrini weight: 9%. Portfolio at 4.5%. InP fab story is compelling but keeping moderate size.