AIXA
TIER 2 · 5%RESEARCH PENDINGAixtron • Semi Equipment & Testing • XETRA
External Research
Key Metrics
Mkt Cap€3.77B
Fwd P/E53.0x
Gross Margin40.0%
D/E0.005
Rev Growth-12.1%
Customer RiskLow
Supply Chain Position
MOCVD monopoly (70-90% share). Photonics orders doubling YoY. 85% GaN market share — second catalyst from 800V DC power (Rubin Ultra 2027).
Why Included
Thesis is right but stock has run +183% from 52-week low. Virtually debt-free (D/E 0.005). €181M FCF. Smaller position to manage entry risk. Scale in on pullbacks.
Customers: No single customer >15%. Broadly diversified customer base.
Red Flags
- •Stock has run +183% from 52-week low — significant entry risk at current levels
- •+19% above analyst consensus target — market is pricing in optimistic scenario
- •Revenue declining -12.1% — photonics orders need to convert to revenue
- •53x forward P/E is the most expensive in the portfolio — leaves no room for error
Citrini Research Note
Citrini weight: 9%. Portfolio underweight at 4.5% due to stock already having run +183%. Scale in on pullbacks.